get us in the dance. have us losing to south carolina and florida (both winnable i think if the breaks fall our way), but looking at the schedule i think we go 8 and 2 the rest of the way. and i think that gets us in the dance, 8 or 9 seed unless we win 2 or 3 at the sec tourney, then maybe a 6 of 7 seed. the next 4 we should be favored. then south carolina, then ole miss at home and auburn on the road. can win both of those not easily but we can win those with an average to above average performance.
the goal is to get in the dance. i still think we can do this.
8-2 - yes, regardless if we win one in the SEC Tourney or not
7-3 - yes, if one of the 7 is FL or SC, regardless of the SEC Tourney
7-3- yes, if we lose to FL and SC but win 1 in the SEC Tourney
6-4 - yes, but only if we win 2 in the SEC Tourney
Basically, I believe that 24 wins gets us in. Also, I believe 23 wins gets us in if one is a road win over FL or SC.
I have to say that though I see Arkansas as a team that can go 8-2 at this time, it wouldnt shock me if they went 5-5 at a finish!!! They better come together and quick! Any four to six minute droughts on offense can be losses against Bamma, A&M, Vanderbuilt, Georgia, and Auburn, not to mention any overlooking of Missouri and LSU and the refs on the road could be deadly also! This team has not been dominate against any big 5 conference teams at any time this year and that scares me! Even in a couple 15 to 20 point games they can go cold for a while and the other teams have cut it to single digits in the 2nd half, like LSU at home! So looking past anything more than a 50 50 shot to dance at this time is a reach to me until I see a full 40 minutes of team play!!!
for one thing its a small percentage of the hog world even that interested in the basketball program
also… we have come to accept mediocrity like the weather
makes it much more difficult for coach and the team.
that said
we will make the dance.
if we can just catch a break or two and make a little run maybe we get this thing turned around and generate enthusiasm right when we get to bring in the stud recruiting class thats on the way