I spoke to someone at the National Weather Service in Birmingham this morning. That is the forecasting office for Auburn.
As of right now they are more worried about rainfall and some spin-up tornadoes in eastern Alabama. The hurricane is projected to make landfall in Louisiana and the heavier rainfall is expected in Mississippi and west Alabama.
That can change, of course. The forecaster I spoke to said the National Hurricane Center expects to have more certainty in the 36-48 hours. They cannot rule out landfall along the Alabama coastline.
Right now I think the LSU-Missouri game in Baton Rouge is likely to get moved or postponed, and the Alabama game at Ole Miss might be in more jeopardy of being interrupted than Arkansas’ game at Auburn.
It’s actually not that rare. Hurricane season lasts until November each year. This NOAA chart shows the frequency of hurricanes and tropical storms, and how prevalent they are in early October over a 100-year period. Hurricanes Wilma, Sandy, Matthew and Michael were all in October.
Granted, those were all in the past 15 years — Opal and Mitch were a couple of big October hurricanes in the '90s — which might speak to your point about the intensification of these storms later in the year. The oddity this year has certainly been the number of tropical systems that have developed, but that could be due to the La Niña that has developed. I think we’re on the seventh letter of the Greek alphabet this year, whereas in 2016 and 2017 we were on the “M” name.
Very interesting…I posted on this subject yesterday…and you can see my post (along with some replies to that post) if you scroll down near the bottom. Yet, it is merged with a similar post from just an hour ago, which is at the top.
Not unusual for threads on similar subjects to be merged, but normally the original thread survives and the later ones are just merged in below it. Very odd.