An offense only scores 47 percent of the time when there is a sack on a possession? What does that mean? I would love it if our offense scores 47 percent of the time (unless it was the Mississippi game, in which it seems we had to score 100 percent of the time).
I think in the pros it’s not much.
Then what is the percentage when there isn’t a sack? Or the percentage overall? And what’s the average number of offensive possessions in a game? Guess I’m old school, or just plain old, scoring 47 percent of the time you have the ball used to be called an offensive explosion . Guess not now.
Not sure. Maybe it’s not relevant for college or maybe I got the number wrong.
Np. I was just curious. Even if you got the number wrong, or if you got it right but it is not relevant for college, I get the main point, that even one sack signifucantly diminishes your chance of scoring.
In most instances it seems to me holding teams to FGs is a defensive win in todays game. The one key that I think is so underappreciated is tipped balls, by either the defensive line or LBs. Seems like every time I watch Georgia some big defensive lineman is swatting a pass.
The closer you get to the QB, the better chance to get a tipped or batted ball. Georgia does get pressure.
And, back to the sack issue:
Maybe wiz can explain this in plain english?
I think it says sacks help you win.
Interesting stuff, but there is no way to get an intervention and control group, against the same opponent in the same situation, and change nothing except the number of sacks, in order to have a real study. But they did the best they could. I have no doubt, though, everything being equal, the more sacks your defense has, the better. And I’d sure like to test that theory on Saturday .
You go through Arkansas history and find two things that line up well: sack leaders, limiting rushing TDs and victories.
IMO, not very impressive research. As Clay points out, it pretty much says…in a non-definitive way, at that - that, in general, if you get more sacks against your opponent than you allow, you tend to increase your margin of victory (or, decrease your margin of defeat).
Not exactly “scintillating” stuff.
What would be more on-point for the discussion here is what 1, or 2 sacks in an offensive possession do to the expected points from that possession. None of that information is discussed in that article.
Another way of saying why you want to get QB off his spot ;however, some QB’s do really well running around , scrambling and not in one place.
I kept reading to find something I could take to the bank. Never got there.
I would hypothocize that if you force the offense to punt on a pocession, their chance of scoring on that pocession is less than 1%… I assume there is sideways an outside chance the receiving team could fumble and the punting team could recover for TD, ala Reggie Fish.
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