Swine those #'s don’t look like an 11 seed. Surprised Lunardi had us that low before the win. I know we only had the one Quad 1 win but NET already factors that in and we were 28 (implies 7 seed) are now 24 there, which would imply a 6. Most of those other metrics imply a 5 - 6 as well.
Any loss is a bad loss, especially anything other than a q1 loss, when you’re trying to climb to a 4 seed like last year. A 4 seed is very possible. We are right in line with where KenPom had us the last 2 years. We can afford no more than 2 more losses, though, and they need to be the right ones (if we do lose).
Regular season record was 24-7. We’d have to run the table to match that.
Q1 prior to the tournament: 7-7. We won’t have 14 Q1 games this time. It’s conceivable that Kentucky could get its act together and be Q1 by March, but that’s probably it. Amazingly we only had two Q1 games in the tournament: Gonzaga and Duke, and the same number in the SECT (LSU and TAM). Remember, we’re 2-5 in Q1 now after last night. The best we could do is 5-5 going into the SECT unless Kentucky moves up.
Bad losses last year: Hofstra in NLR was Q3, Vandy at home was Q2. So pretty similar to this year.