I would have thought it was higher than that, really. A 70% rate means we can expect 5 of the 16 seeds to lose.
<LINK_TEXT text=“https://www.ncaa.com/news/baseball/arti … 70-percent”>https://www.ncaa.com/news/baseball/article/2018-05-17/college-baseball-teams-home-field-advantage-have-about-70-percent</LINK_TEXT>