I would have thought it was higher than that, really. A 70% rate means we can expect 5 of the 16 seeds to lose.
<LINK_TEXT text=“https://www.ncaa.com/news/baseball/arti … 70-percent”>https://www.ncaa.com/news/baseball/article/2018-05-17/college-baseball-teams-home-field-advantage-have-about-70-percent</LINK_TEXT>
Which means we better not count our chickens before they hatch. I believe I read we had failed to advance four of the last six times we hosted. This does not seem to be an easy regional, either. Dallas Baptist has a reputation of pulling the upset.
That sounds about right. Last year three of the top eight national seeds lost their regional. Other regional hosts, like Arkansas, also were eliminated.