I stole this from another board, but it has some interesting information concerning the recruiting challenge for the Hogs. Not a big surprise, but pretty good research.
For my purposes, I’m calling a blue-chip prospect a 4 or 5 star player, as according to 247’s rating.
Number of prospects over the last three recruiting classes:
[State: 2017, 2016, 2015 = TOTAL (Avg. Per Year)]
AL: 14, 9, 11 = 34 (11.33)
MS: 6, 10, 11 = 27 (9)
LA: 10, 19, 15 = 44 (14.67)
GA: 30, 27, 31 = 88 (29.33)
TX: 40, 46, 50 = 136 (45.33)
AR: 3, 3, 6 = 12 (4)
MO: 4, 3, 4 = 11 (3.67)
SC: 4, 6, 6, = 16 (5.33)
FL: 38, 43, 46 (42.33)
TN: 13, 9, 11 = 33 (11)
KY: 1, 3, 2 = 6 (2)
Now, let’s pretend that those prospects more-or-less get distributed among each state’s power 5 schools. Obviously this isn’t the case, but we need to normalize those numbers by how many schools in the state are competing for these prospects.
Number of P5 schools in each state: 2 in AL, 2 in MS, 1 in LA, 2 in GA, 5 in TX, 1 in AR, 1 in MO, 2 in SC, 3 in FL, 2 in TN, 2 in KY
So how many of those prospects per year could be shared by each P5 school?
Number of 4/5* prospects per year per P5 school:
LA: 14.67
GA: 14.67
FL: 14.11
TX: 9.06
AL: 5.67
TN: 5.5
MS: 4.5
AR: 4
MO: 3.67
SC: 2.67
KY: 1
Conclusion:
LSU has an enormous advantage because they’re the only P5 school in the state. One could argue that UGA has it even better, seeing that Georgia Tech is absolutely not competing (usually) for top recruits with UGA. They get the lion’s share of a talent-rich state.
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It sure shows what a good job of recruiting is done by Saban. He can grab players from anywhere. I’m ready for him to retire.