Interesting, but I noticed Nolan has their ELO at #8 and RPI at #19. True, they had not done much “lately”, but just like the Hogs they won their last two series on the road.
Not surprisingly, we’re the lowest rated team (both RPI and ELO) of the 8 teams in Omaha, per Warren Nolan’s estimates (which, at this time of the year, are virtually identical to the real metrics).
Furthermore, that site gives us about a 42% chance of beating Stanford in the opener (combining RPI and ELO predictions)…
There were a lot of those teams near the top of the rankings showed some signs of weakness toward the end of the regular season. After Tennessee, I think there was a cluster of 15-20 teams that were very comparable, which is a reason why I thought Arkansas had a chance to make it to Omaha.