espn fpi not high on Hogs

predict a final 4-8, it is computer modelled but someone did the programming so choose how much bias is in play:

https://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/sec-f … sec-teams/

if Mizzou is 5-7 then they have Brett headed out on an 0fer streak.

[quote=“rayzabackerII”]
predict a final 4-8, it is computer modelled but someone did the programming so choose how much bias is in play:

https://www.saturdaydownsouth.com/sec-f … sec-teams/

if Mizzou is 5-7 then they have Brett headed out on an 0fer streak.
[/quote]Not that it really matters, but the clown who wrote that article doesn’t even know how to read/interpret the FPI correctly.

It IS true that Mizzou’s FPI is rated above Arkansas’. However . . . the game is in Fayetteville, so - as almost all power indexes do - the home team gets and additional boost when predicting the outcome of future games. The FPI actually gives Arkansas a 55% chance of winning that game, meaning we are projected to finish at 5-7.

http://www.espn.com/college-football/te … &year=2017

Someone ought to tell the author “and that’s . . . the REST of the story!” (see what I did there?)

Great call, Wiz.
Paul Harvey was one of the two greatest speakers I
had the good fortune to hear in person.
The other one was R. Buckminster Fuller.

[quote=“WizardofhOgZ”]

Hot damn we’re 5-7. Sickening

They have AUB picked to beat GA as well, I don’t see it.

Handicapper Todd Furhman on Bo’s Show said yesterday Missouri would be a one point favorite against Arkansss if the game was played this weekend

[quote=“JacksonReid”]
Handicapper Todd Furhman on Bo’s Show said yesterday Missouri would be a one point favorite against Arkansas if the game was played this weekend
[/quote]Question and a comment.

(1) Was that on a neutral field, as most odds are quoted; or, with Arkansas as the home team (he may not have specified)?

I’ve checked several times over the years, and it’s uncanny how close Jeff Sagarin’s “predictions” (based on differential in power ratings, and home field bonus points) comes to the Las Vegas line for games in general (not just Arkansas games). Checking his current ratings (he lists 3 different ones), Arkansas would currently be favored by 2, 7, and 2 points (respectively) on a neutral field over Missouri. Add 2 points to the spread for the Razorbacks’ home field advantage.

https://www.usatoday.com/sports/ncaaf/s … 2017/team/

(2) While that’s nice info, the discussion here was specific to FPI and what that power rating model predicted.

[quote=“WizardofhOgZ”]

I don’t know - saw the info on a tweet from Bo.