Computer simulation has this as a tight game . . .

. . . with TCU prevailing in 52.5% of their simulations.

https://www.whatifsports.com/beyondtheb … 1609100085

Before anyone asks - they had us winning by 5 points last week vs. La. Tech.

That is about as close as it can get through stats and score. Very evenly matched teams. Basically a toss-up.

The team that makes the fewest mistakes will win the game.