Computer Simulation for Arkansas @ Auburn

As you’d probably expect, it projects to be a very close game. Here are their comments:

No. 17 Arkansas at No. 21 Auburn

The Razorbacks’ only two losses this season have come to undefeated teams (Texas A&M and Alabama). Auburn is in the same boat. A&M and Clemson gave the Tigers their only losses of 2016. When a team gets its third loss, the wheels tend to fall off and programs start planning for next season. If Arkansas wants to win, it needs to get the ball into the hands of Rawleigh Williams. In both losses, RW3 rushed for under 80 yards. Auburn has two RBs to work with: Kerryon Johnson and Kamryn Pettway. KJ missed last week’s game with a leg injury, but has returned to practice for this week’s contest. KP filled in nicely in the win over Mississippi State on Saturday: 39 carries, 169 yards and three TDs. With that duo, Auburn wins the simulations 54.4 percent of the time, by an average score of 26.7-25.2.

And here is the boxscore: … 1610220075

That’s as close a box score as I’ve ever seen. Wow.

I think we win because we have the better QB.

And I think we pass for much more yardage than the simulation projects. I would say closer to 300 yards.

That’s much closer than I expected

I just don’t have confidence Ark can beat Auburn and the SEC Zebras

Ark will have to dominate

I still believe SEC Officals have a subconscious bias to protect charter member teams

But hey - I’m impressed with Austin - Ark has a chance with a good QB and Ark has a very good QB and he is getting better