ARK-TAM simulation game

I would love for it to be true.take it for what its worth,they seem to think Henry is a viable pass option for us…

I’ll take that in a gaggie second!

Interesting, but they had South Carolina beating us by 1, hope they are more accurate this game,

not a fan of that site, but I will hope their result is borne out. Checking other sim sites and usually A$m wins most projections. Best that I have seen for play by play is

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 27 – Run by Raheim Sanders for 8 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 2 on Own 35 – Run by KJ Jefferson for 4 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 39 – PENALTY: False Start
Down: 1 Distance: 15 on Own 34 – Run by KJ Jefferson for 7 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 8 on Own 41 – PENALTY: False Start
Down: 2 Distance: 13 on Own 36 – Run by Raheim Sanders for 5 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 8 on Own 41 – Run by KJ Jefferson for 1 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 7 on Own 42 – 37 yard punt by Max Fletcher, Return for 8 yds

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 29 – Pass by Haynes King INTERCEPTED by

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 29 – Pass by KJ Jefferson complete to Matt Landers for 8 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 2 on Opp 21 – Pass by KJ Jefferson incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 2 on Opp 21 – Pass by KJ Jefferson complete to Raheim Sanders for 14 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 7 – Pass by KJ Jefferson complete to Jadon Haselwood for 7 yds TOUCHDOWN

Arkansas leads 7-0

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Jalen Preston for 5 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 5 on Own 25 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Ainias Smith for 18 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 43 – Run by Ainias Smith for 6 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 4 on Own 49 – Run by Haynes King for 3 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 1 on Opp 48 – Run by Amari Daniels for 1 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 47 – Run by Devon Achane for 3 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 7 on Opp 44 – Run by Devon Achane for 3 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 4 on Opp 41 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Devon Achane for 23 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 18 – Pass by Haynes King incomplete
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Opp 18 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Donovan Green for 18 yds TOUCHDOWN

Tied at 7

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 – Run by Raheim Sanders for 1 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 9 on Own 21 – Pass by KJ Jefferson complete to Matt Landers for 3 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 6 on Own 24 – Run by AJ Green for 3 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 3 on Own 27 – 36 yard punt by Max Fletcher, Return for 14 yds

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 49 – Run by Haynes King for 4 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 6 on Opp 45 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Devon Achane for 17 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 28 – Run by Devon Achane for 3 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 7 on Opp 25 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Ainias Smith for 25 yds TOUCHDOWN

Texas A&M leads 14-7

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 – PENALTY: False Start
Down: 1 Distance: 15 on Own 15 – Run by KJ Jefferson for 0 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 15 on Own 15 – Pass by KJ Jefferson incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 15 on Own 15 – Run by KJ Jefferson for 3 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 12 on Own 18 – 39 yard punt by Max Fletcher, Return for 49 yds

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 8 – Run by Devon Achane for 3 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 7 on Opp 5 – Run by Ainias Smith for 3 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 4 on Opp 2 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Ainias Smith for 2 yds TOUCHDOWN

Texas A&M leads 21-7

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 – Pass by KJ Jefferson incomplete
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Own 20 – Run by AJ Green for 0 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 10 on Own 20 – Run by Jadon Haselwood for 0 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 10 on Own 20 – 39 yard punt by Max Fletcher, Return for 28 yds

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 31 – Run by Devon Achane for 9 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 1 on Opp 22 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Devon Achane for 5 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 17 – Run by Devon Achane for 0 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Opp 17 – Pass by Haynes King incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 10 on Opp 17 – Pass by Haynes King incomplete
Down: 4 Distance: 10 on Opp 17 – Kick by Caden Davis NO GOOD

Texas A&M leads 21-7

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 17 – Run by Rashod Dubinion for 8 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 2 on Own 25 – Run by AJ Green for 5 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 30 – Run by Raheim Sanders for 10 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 40 – Run by AJ Green for 16 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 44 – Pass by KJ Jefferson complete to Trey Knox for 0 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Opp 44 – Run by Raheim Sanders for -2 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 12 on Opp 46 – Run by KJ Jefferson for 6 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 6 on Opp 40 – 35 yard punt by Max Fletcher, No Return

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 5 – PENALTY: False Start - Half the distance to the goal
Down: 1 Distance: 12 on Own 3 – Run by Haynes King for 2 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Own 5 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Ainias Smith for 16 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 21 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Yulkeith Brown for 19 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 40 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Devon Achane for 11 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 49 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Devon Achane for 23 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 26 – Run by Amari Daniels for 0 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Opp 26 – PENALTY: False Start
Down: 2 Distance: 15 on Opp 31 – Run by Devon Achane for 5 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 10 on Opp 26 – Run by Devon Achane for 3 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 7 on Opp 23 – Kick by Caden Davis NO GOOD

Texas A&M leads 21-7

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 23 – Run by KJ Jefferson for 6 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 4 on Own 29 – Pass by KJ Jefferson complete to Jadon Haselwood for 12 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 41 – Pass by KJ Jefferson incomplete
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Own 41 – Pass by KJ Jefferson incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 10 on Own 41 – Pass by KJ Jefferson complete to Trey Knox for 15 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 44 – Run by Raheim Sanders for 5 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 5 on Opp 39 – Run by KJ Jefferson for 3 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 2 on Opp 36 – Run by Raheim Sanders for 9 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 27 – Pass by KJ Jefferson complete to Matt Landers for 27 yds TOUCHDOWN

Texas A&M leads 21-14

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Jake Johnson for 27 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 47 – Run by Max Johnson for 1 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 9 on Own 48 – Run by Devon Achane for 7 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 2 on Opp 45 – Run by Devon Achane for 2 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 43 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Ainias Smith for 32 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 11 – Run by Haynes King for 2 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 8 on Opp 9 – Pass by Haynes King incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 8 on Opp 9 – Run by Devon Achane for -2 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 10 on Opp 11 – Kick by Caden Davis NO GOOD

Texas A&M leads 21-14

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 11 – Run by Raheim Sanders for 3 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 7 on Own 14 – Pass by KJ Jefferson incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 7 on Own 14 – Run by Raheim Sanders for 6 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 1 on Own 20 – 41 yard punt by Max Fletcher, Return for 12 yds

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 49 – Run by Haynes King for 7 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 3 on Opp 42 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Ainias Smith for 42 yds TOUCHDOWN

Texas A&M leads 28-14

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 – Pass by KJ Jefferson incomplete
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Own 20 – Pass by KJ Jefferson complete to Raheim Sanders for 10 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 30 – Run by KJ Jefferson for 7 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 3 on Own 37 – Run by KJ Jefferson for 5 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 42 – Pass by KJ Jefferson incomplete
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Own 42 – Run by Jadon Haselwood for 1 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 9 on Own 43 – Run by Raheim Sanders for 3 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 6 on Own 46 – 38 yard punt by Max Fletcher, Return for 5 yds

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 21 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Devon Achane for 0 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Own 21 – Pass by Haynes King incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 10 on Own 21 – Run by Amari Daniels for 2 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 8 on Own 23 – 45 yard punt by Nik Constantinou, Return for 4 yds

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 36 – Pass by KJ Jefferson complete to Jadon Haselwood for 11 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 47 – Run by KJ Jefferson for -2 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 12 on Own 45 – Run by Raheim Sanders for 10 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 2 on Opp 45 – Pass by KJ Jefferson complete to Matt Landers for 44 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 1 – Run by Rashod Dubinion for 1 yds TOUCHDOWN

Texas A&M leads 28-21

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 – Run by Devon Achane for 3 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 7 on Own 23 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Ainias Smith for 13 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 36 – Run by Devon Achane for 3 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 7 on Own 39 – Run by Devon Achane for -2 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 9 on Own 37 – Run by Devon Achane for 3 yds
Down: 4 Distance: 6 on Own 40 – 44 yard punt by Nik Constantinou, Return for 13 yds

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 29 – Run by KJ Jefferson for 1 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 9 on Own 30 – Run by Rashod Dubinion for 1 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 8 on Own 31 – Pass by KJ Jefferson complete to Raheim Sanders for 24 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 45 – Run by Raheim Sanders for 10 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 35 – Pass by KJ Jefferson complete to Trey Knox for 3 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 7 on Opp 32 – Run by KJ Jefferson for 8 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 24 – Pass by KJ Jefferson complete to Ketron Jackson for 0 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Opp 24 – Run by KJ Jefferson for 0 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 10 on Opp 24 – Pass by KJ Jefferson complete to Matt Landers for 15 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 9 – Run by Raheim Sanders for 2 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 8 on Opp 7 – Pass by KJ Jefferson complete to Matt Landers for 7 yds TOUCHDOWN

Tied at 28

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Ainias Smith for 17 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 37 – Run by Devon Achane for 3 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 7 on Own 40 – Pass by Haynes King incomplete
Down: 3 Distance: 7 on Own 40 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Moose Muhammad III for 19 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 41 – Run by Devon Achane for 3 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 7 on Opp 38 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Ainias Smith for 35 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 3 – Run by Haynes King for -2 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 12 on Opp 5 – Run by Haynes King for 2 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 10 on Opp 3 – Pass by Haynes King complete to Ainias Smith for 3 yds TOUCHDOWN

Texas A&M leads 35-28

Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 20 – Run by Raheim Sanders for 1 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 9 on Own 21 – Pass by KJ Jefferson complete to Raheim Sanders for 8 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 1 on Own 29 – Run by Raheim Sanders for 1 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Own 30 – Pass by KJ Jefferson complete to Raheim Sanders for 8 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 2 on Own 38 – Run by Raheim Sanders for 19 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 43 – Pass by KJ Jefferson incomplete
Down: 2 Distance: 10 on Opp 43 – Run by KJ Jefferson for 3 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 7 on Opp 40 – Run by AJ Green for 23 yds
Down: 1 Distance: 10 on Opp 17 – Run by AJ Green for 3 yds
Down: 2 Distance: 7 on Opp 14 – Run by Jadon Haselwood for 0 yds
Down: 3 Distance: 7 on Opp 14 – Pass by KJ Jefferson complete to Matt Landers for 8 yds

FINAL SCORE

35
(2023)
28
(2023)

The average score is Texas A&M (2023): 23.7 - Arkansas (2023): 17.0, decided by < 5 pts 35 times (19.4%)

MATCHUP SIMULATION STATS

Texas A&M vs. Arkansas

# of simulations:

180

# of overtimes:

8 (4.4%)

(2023)

Β» Texas A&M won 116 times (64.4%)

Β» Texas A&M won by >20 pts 40 times (22.2%)

(2023)

Β» Arkansas won 64 times (35.6%)

Β» Arkansas won by >20 pts 7 times (3.9%)


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Here’s an odd thing should the game end in that score.

It would match the series record we had against the Aggies prior to their horrid 9 game winning streak (not counting 3 ties).

That’s right…before that ugly streak (which EASILY could have been 6-3 or even 5-4), we led the series 41-24-3.

It would be symbolic of the series retuning to β€œnormalcy”…as in, Hogs winning on the regular.

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Yeah we could have very easily won three or four of these games that’s why I’ve never been high on Jimbo Fisherl When everybody else was beating us badly they were very lucky to beat us.

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We need to go on a long streak to right these wrongs. That 9 game run was really hard to take.

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